Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.707811 3.123053 3.581563 4.125573 4.753715 5.456596 6.303349
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.133240 2.671893 3.317597 4.149380 5.193815 6.463714 8.128060
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.717389 2.311236 3.075949 4.134503 5.565044 7.435969 10.077031
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.360849 1.952523 2.764696 3.963675 5.694317 8.110887 11.758147
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.091522 1.659008 2.484108 3.775052 5.752830 8.683262 13.383106
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.944423 1.513431 2.385650 3.825333 6.155574 9.802689 15.990431
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.796419 1.339470 2.213108 3.727600 6.305666 10.548957 18.130925
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.734892 1.293409 2.233671 3.940684 6.987935 12.247580 22.117662
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.670509 1.230990 2.215280 4.080817 7.562121 13.843800 26.185332
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.597597 1.141140 2.134021 4.092997 7.903435 15.070711 29.771141
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.508107 1.006320 1.950282 3.883655 7.792291 15.434537 31.751440
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.474469 0.973641 1.953658 4.035296 8.405111 17.278203 36.981802
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.449325 0.956169 1.988177 4.263702 9.228878 19.710500 43.946796
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.412554 0.908972 1.955619 4.347560 9.764029 21.633241 50.166912
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.374943 0.854109 1.898759 4.369730 10.168462 23.340380 56.216583
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.328530 0.772375 1.771179 4.212086 10.137653 24.065297 60.091465
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.286636 0.694474 1.640425 4.025398 10.005828 24.529500 63.405511
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.265938 0.663844 1.614861 4.088035 10.492610 26.560482 71.061896
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.238162 0.611572 1.529804 3.989017 10.555442 27.547099 76.161194
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.231090 0.610607 1.571057 4.221006 11.519346 31.006104 88.626316
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.220299 0.598290 1.581674 4.373706 12.296313 34.098703 100.649513
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.204117 0.569056 1.543859 4.388319 12.693445 36.219189 110.253762
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.179748 0.513592 1.427697 4.164560 12.373061 36.266962 113.652611